I only ask because it seems like everyone's pretty gosh darn positive about who is gonna win what this year. Sure there are dead-locks and shoe-ins. But as the years have shown us, the Acedemy gets it wrong somethimes (Shakespeare in Love over Saving Private Ryan, and Kramer vs Kramer over Apocalypse Now).
Alot of that has to do with campaigning. The Weinstein boys are notorious for touting all their movies in every voter's face. Sometimes it works (The English Patient), sometimes it doesn't (Gangs of New York). The politics that go into an Award Season can rival that of any presidential primary.
That being said, I think one of the most important things to consider with Best Picture are what movies can stand the test of time? What can we look back on and say, "Man, I remember that! What a great movie!" (I don't do that with Crash)
Just to have a little fun, and since I've seen every movie nominated- (except for the docs, short films, and foriegn pictures) I'm gonna make picks in 18 categories!
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:
will win: Micahel Clayton | should win: Atonement
BEST SONG:
will win: one of the Encahnteds | should win: Once
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
will win: Transformers| snubbed: Harry Potter 5/ 300
BEST SOUND MIXING:
will win: No Country for Old Men | should win: Transformers
BEST SOUND EDITING:
will win: There Will be Blood | should win: Transformers
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE:
will and should win: Ratatouille| snubbed: Beowulf
BEST COSTUME:
will win: Sweeney Todd | should win: Elizabeth 2
BEST ART DIRECTION:
will and should win: Sweeney Todd
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
will win: There Will Be Blood | should win: Assass. of Jesse James
BEST MAKEUP:
will win: Pirates of the Caribbean | snubbed: Hairspray
BEST EDITING:
will win: No Country for Old Men | snubbed: Grindhouse
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
will and should win: Juno
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
will win: No Country for Old Men| should win: Atonement
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
will and should win: Javier Bardem | (but all noms were great!)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
will win: Cate Blanchett | should win: Amy Ryan
BEST ACTOR:
will and should win: Daniel Day-Lewis
BEST ACTRESS:
will win: Julie Christie | should win: Marion Cotillard
BEST DIRECTOR:
will win: Coen Brothers | should win: that Diving Bell/Butterfly guy
BEST PICTURE:
will win: No Country for Old Men | snubbed: 3:10 to Yuma
Comments
shaggydan 02/24/08
I'm with you on a lot of this, especially Juno for Screenplay. Great Script, that one. Very deserving of a win.
You make a very good point about this being a predicable year. Unless there are some wholly unexpected surprises, this year's pick feel easy to make.
We'll see...
Rose Tyler 02/24/08
There will be at least one surprise. I think some races are pretty tight including original song, adapted screenplay, actress, director, supporting actress and even picture. Though No Country has lots of momentum going in There Will Be Blood and PTA have a very large, supportive fan base. I think the only lock ups are best actor, supporting actor and original screenplay.
Moononastring 02/25/08
So I think there were definitely a few suprises...Best Actress, Best Supporting Actress, Best Documentary. Although I was praying for Once to win for Best Song, I expected Enchanted to win, so I was pleasantly suprised there as well.
gatefreak2 07/23/08
This comment is after the fact, but i think there were quite a few suprises this year, In fact this was the most entertaining the awards have been for years. I do however think that the Oscars is so lacking in variety. The same pics get nominated in all the cats. While some of the winners were suprising the noms were not. Wake up academy, there is more than OLD FART pics out there. They definitely need more catogories to even out the field.
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